Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.302306 3.961465 4.698965 5.582445 6.609049 7.761275 9.149182
2025-06-29 2.292290 3.109691 4.123271 5.460972 7.167009 9.255840 11.990836
2025-07-06 1.703760 2.565893 3.731010 5.395409 7.681845 10.678093 14.860000
2025-07-13 1.431190 2.352411 3.689115 5.725152 8.692340 12.792646 18.803878
2025-07-20 1.195947 2.129104 3.572822 5.900685 9.472817 14.639935 22.538621
2025-07-27 1.041886 1.992510 3.549394 6.187871 10.420911 16.787168 26.868102
2025-08-03 0.867636 1.781823 3.365377 6.182101 10.898307 18.258261 30.305515
2025-08-10 0.695466 1.535563 3.075241 5.948705 10.965739 19.081033 32.795013
2025-08-17 0.562513 1.332909 2.823824 5.736542 11.026591 19.874193 35.272586
2025-08-24 0.479684 1.212334 2.701680 5.732640 11.432461 21.248194 38.774104
2025-08-31 0.413316 1.111845 2.600374 5.749269 11.867565 22.694598 42.488767
2025-09-07 0.351181 1.006407 2.470383 5.688842 12.146731 23.882484 45.836019
2025-09-14 0.280121 0.863552 2.239530 5.398797 11.969875 24.268156 47.862415
2025-09-21 0.238485 0.784989 2.137286 5.362882 12.284871 25.573093 51.624266
2025-09-28 0.203310 0.714406 2.040491 5.323615 12.585402 26.870238 55.460144
2025-10-05 0.192441 0.711011 2.105901 5.657736 13.693614 29.790439 62.503151
2025-10-12 0.174905 0.682855 2.103958 5.834061 14.480686 32.139406 68.614025
2025-10-19 0.163790 0.672198 2.145675 6.119238 15.530192 35.079951 76.039365
2025-10-26 0.142739 0.622455 2.073171 6.113783 15.930536 36.737133 81.064780
2025-11-02 0.117347 0.549134 1.920364 5.882742 15.790651 37.269542 83.892322
2025-11-09 0.096753 0.486051 1.783946 5.672680 15.673451 37.832796 86.806711
2025-11-16 0.084589 0.451728 1.727551 5.668823 16.046118 39.462245 91.992309
2025-11-23 0.074480 0.422355 1.680946 5.685291 16.468960 41.227681 97.561865